What are the NCIS season 15 ratings expectations? It’s an interesting subject of conversation for CBS, given that we know they value the show so highly. It’s been promoted as TV’s most-watched show for years, and we know that internationally it has more total viewers than any other program out there. For the sake of this article, though, we are writing solely about viewers in the United States and how the show can maintain more viewers than they have.
The first valuable thing worth doing within this article is presenting what is effectively a nice dose of reality. This is NCIS season 15, and it would be foolish to sit here and say that we anticipate the ratings to be anywhere similar this year to what we’ve seen from them in the past. That is just not going to happen, and it’s also silly to think that the show will maintain all of its season 14 audience, even though that in turn was down more than 10% in total viewers and down more than 20% in the key 18-49 demographic. Ratings fall in the DVR / streaming era. That’s just the reality of it at this point, and we see there being very little reason to think that things will change at this point.
So what should we expect then this season? Let’s break this down across the two key measurements.
In the demographic – The show averaged a 1.7 rating for the 14th season, but the episodic ratings were down closer to a 1.4 or so by the time the finale was close. For the time being, we wouldn’t be shocked to see the series pull in a 1.5 as more people look for either other programs or ways in which to consistently view NCIS. ratings tend to be higher in the fall than in the spring, but we could easily envision the show in 1.2 or 1.3 territory by around the time March or April rolls around.
In total viewers – In this measurement, the show averaged last season around 14.6 million. We do think that around 13.5 million is a fairly reasonable estimate when you think about similar trends. The good news when it comes to total viewers is that NCIS has fallen a little more slowly in this measurement than the demo; the flip side of this is that most networks care more about the demo than total viewers, so this may not be all that great of news for CBS.
What are some of your NCIS season 15 ratings expectations?
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