What are the current chances of an NCIS: Los Angeles season 11 renewal? In this new Ratings Report feature, we want to do our best to figure it out!
Related NCIS: Los Angeles video! – Check out more thoughts regarding what’s coming up next at the bottom of this article! Meanwhile, be sure to subscribe to CarterMatt on YouTube for more discussion and check out our full NCIS franchise playlist.
Let’s start things off here, as per usual, by diving into the hard numbers. The great news right now is that season 10 is averaging a 0.9 rating in the 18-49 demographic, which on paper is awesome. After all, this is a drop of just under 3% versus the season 9 average! Yet, sometimes ratings averages can be deceiving. Typically, NCIS: Los Angeles delivers its best ratings during the NFL season where it can capitalize on its lead-in, and then the numbers tumble somewhat in the spring. While we think that it’s doing serviceably well for CBS, at the same time it’s not hitting any significant home run. It’s doing what it can to stay solid and keep the network performing at a decent-enough level on Sunday nights.
So why do we think that it’s a lock for renewal, even with its ratings picture reasonably incomplete? It’s because of the franchise’s value, and also because of some of the uncertainty elsewhere on the network Madam Secretary, MacGyver, SEAL Team, Criminal Minds, Bull, and Hawaii Five-0 are among some of the shows that are performing worse than NCIS: Los Angeles is in the 18-49 demographic. It’s also performing about on par with NCIS: New Orleans on Tuesday nights. Basically, there are a number of shows more likely to be on the chopping block, and we haven’t even mentioned Elementary, which is ending its run with the seventh season.
Is there any cause for concern?
We’ll always say that there is a chance that cast members could leave once you are more than a decade into a show’s run, and to date, NCIS: Los Angeles has been fairly lucky that most of its core cast is still here with some assorted exceptions (such as Miguel Ferrer, who is sadly no longer with us). If there are a number of cast departures, maybe that makes the path to a renewal a little more challenging. At present, though, we don’t think that there is any reason to suspect that someone is leaving — there’s no actual evidence of it, despite whatever you may be seeing in terms of the ever-churning internet rumor mill.
So, for now, expect an NCIS: Los Angeles season 11 renewal — personally, we feel like there could be some news that comes out on the subject by the time we make it to March or April.