2012 Emmy race: Are ‘Mad Men,’ ‘Homeland’ now the drama favorites?

Does “Homeland” now have the edge?

Even though the 2012 Primetime Emmy Awards have yet to even announce their nominees, we are going to take a look beyond that for the race that many people are starting to discuss already — the battle for Outstanding Drama Series. Has there been a better field here in years? With “Mad Men,” “Homeland,” “Breaking Bad,” Game of Thrones,” and “Downton Abbey,” you have five out of six nominees that in our mind could win without us being upset for a second about it. They are all great shows in different ways, and they each bring something distinct to the table, whether it be office affairs, faces getting blown off, or Maggie Smith being fantastically snooty.

So what way are the voters leaning? That is what we are currently trying to figure out.

On the rise – “Homeland”

When we first wrote our Emmy preview article¬†for Drama Series earlier this year, we felt that the race was really going to come down between “Mad Men” and “Breaking Bad.” Now, we’re not quite sure. Our concern with “Homeland” was that the show would be dinged by airing at a time when it wouldn’t be on the forefront on Emmy voters’ minds, but the recent win at the Critics’ Choice Television Awards may very well change that. Now, the show is a hot commodity again, and Claire Danes and company may even have more momentum than Jon Hamm and the rest of the cast at SCDP. While we actually thought “Mad Men” had its best year this season, controversial as that thought may be, it doesn’t have the luxury anymore of being that fresh show that changes how people think about TV.

Declining – “Game of Thrones”

This is not to say that “Game of Thrones” is anything sort of spectacular — as a matter of fact, its final three episodes may be among some of the best stuff we’ve seen on TV in years. The problem is that the show seems to be losing buzz in the Drama Series category quickly, and although it may be a likely nomination still, it’s not as much of a lock as we predicted at first.

Do we expect the show to get some love? Sure, but the only major category it will likely have a chance is with Peter Dinklage in Best Supporting Actor.

Staying steady – “Breaking Bad”

At the moment, this is such a dangerous show. If voters can look past the violence and see the beauty, then you can make a case for it winning deservedly over anything else in contention. The unfortunate thing is that outside of Bryan Cranston, “Breaking Bad” has never really received the awards-show love it deserves.

The reason this show is at the moment such a wild card is because even though the voting is based on season 4, a strong start to season 5 could influence how people submit their final ballots.

At this point in time, what show do you feel is the favorite to win Outstanding Drama Series?

Photo: Showtime

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